Whether we like it or not, the TNT Tropang Giga versus San Miguel Beermen match-up is actually the one that represents the battle of two strongest squads in the league.
It also represents the biggest rivalry in the league today, MVP versus SMC. So, which team will succeed in getting the championship?
Here are the X Factors.
Points in the Paint
Jayson Castro
Injuries
This series will be the battle of an inside oriented team against an outside oriented team. San Miguel has the two best post scorers in the league. While TNT averaged the most three-pointers per game. I think the paint scoring will be more crucial because San Miguel is reliant on it more than TNT is reliant on their three-point shooting.
The Blur will be a big factor in this series. Just the way that he tilted the semifinals series in favor of TNT. If he can be an unstoppable force for majority of his minutes, it will be beyond human comprehension to stop him and Mikey Williams.
Injuries are not that big of a factor in this current playoff run. The law of average is telling me that a big injury is bound to happen in this Finals. Also, these two teams actually have a lot of reoccurring health problems. Those injuries can reoccur in this Finals.
PREDICTION
In terms of Points in the Paint, I actually think that TNT will have a path wherein San Miguel will fail to dominate it. But in terms of the risk of injuries and my confidence with Jayson, I am more on the negative side for TNT.
So, I am leaning towards San Miguel Beermen.
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