PBA Trade Rumors: TNT-BWE-NLEX blockbuster trade prediction!

 


As expected, TNT Tropang Giga is now in the move to survive the injury to JP Erram. JP is their main center and they need to find a center that can either take over or at least take as much minutes as possible.

Now, the rumor that Snow Badua dropped told us that they are interested to get Brandon Ganuelas-Rosser from NLEX and that Dave Marcelo will be going to NLEX plus another player. Blackwater will be the conduit team.

What we will do in this article is to predict the trade from Worst to Fair!

WORST
TNT get Brandon Rosser
Blackwater get Justin Chua, Jaydee Tungcab, 2024 TNT 1st, Sean Anthony
NLEX get Troy Rosario, Baser Amer, Dave Marcelo

Knowing how the trade committee of the league treats the the multi-team trade of the MVP group, expect a lot of players involved. TNT will give up a bunch of role players and their 2024 1st to grab Brandon Rosser who could be the future of the center position in the league.

REALISTIC
TNT get Brandon Rosser
Blackwater get Justin Chua, Jaydee Tungcab, Mark Acuno, Sean Anthony, Kib Montalbo
NLEX get Troy Rosario, Dave Marcelo, 2024 BWE 1st

In this trade, we followed the rumor as posted by Snow. NLEX got two players and Marcelo is one of them. They will get the promising upcoming first round pick of Blackwater. That has 95% chance of becoming a top 3 pick again. This trade is a little bit better for Blackwater because Acuno and Kib is better than that future 1st of TNT.

FAIR
TNT get Brandon Rosser
Blackwater get Jayson Castro, Glenn Khobuntin, JP Erram, Matt Nieto, 
NLEX get Baser Amer, Dave Marcelo, #2 pick

This is all about Blackwater giving up the #2 pick for this exchange as a fair value for Brandon. I think Castro and JP can cover the 55% of its value. While Glenn and Matt can cover the remaining 45%. Although, in the long run, it is still more likely that Blackwater will fail to cover the value of that #2 pick.

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