Here is our predictions for the two series that will face-up in the semifinals. Manila Clasico will try to reinvigorate the attendance issue of the league.
On the other hand, Meralco and NLEX will also have a sister-team squabble. Meralco ended up as the 3rd seed by sweeping the SMC teams. NLEX bunk on their hot start.
GINEBRA VS MAGNOLIA
Rebounding
Japeth Aguilar
Three-point shooting
Looking at the numbers, rebounding is a crucial part of the victories of Ginebra and Magnolia. They have a good average of more than five rebounds per game advantage in rebound. So, the one who control the rebound, wins.
Magnolia will have a much harder time playing a big line-up. So, Ginebra will have a better path into maximizing their size if Aguilar plays well.
What is very interesting about the numbers of Ginebra and Magnolia is that they are not that good in defending three-pointers and both are bad three-point shooting team.
Prediction
I actually think that this is a close one if we consider the current play of the two teams and their injuries. The twice-to-beat advantage of Ginebra though could be too much for Magnolia to overcome. They just need one great game from Japeth. They will have a chance to adjust their rebounding and three-point shooting.
MERALCO VS NLEX
Robert Bolick
Free-throw shooting
Bench scoring
NLEX will live and die will Robert. I think he can carry NLEX against Meralco. He is just that explosive of a player.
Meralco will need to prepare for the aggressive style of NLEX because NLEX averaged the 2nd highest free-throw attempts per game.
Knowing the size advantage of Meralco, it is vital for NLEX to have their bench working to overcome it.
Prediction
I want to see Bolick explode and carry NLEX to the semifinals. It will surely be a spectacle. But, the easier choice is still Meralco.
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