PBA Playoffs Prediction: San Miguel will easily defeat Ginebra?

 


And the biggest quarterfinals match-up of this 2026 PBA Governors Cup is no other than San Miguel Beermen versus Barangay Ginebra San Miguel.

Let me again state my respect to coach Tim Cone for not choosing the playoff opponent for his team. Now, he will match-up with the strongest line-up.

X-FACTORS
Jordan Murphy

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3rd quarter
Three-point shooting

Justin Brownlee is not here for Ginebra. In a very ironic situation because he just led them to the championship in Commissioner's Cup, wherein the height requirement is taller. Now, Murphy will take the responsibility of leading them to a victory against a powerhouse, can he do it?

The 3rd quarter will be the most vital to watch because coach Tim Cone is known to be effective in adjusting for the 2nd half. Also, San Miguel has the talent to change the tide in the 2nd half.

Stat-wise, three-point shooting will be a big factor. San Miguel is the most efficient from beyond the arc at 39%. That is actually really high. That makes them really efficient. Ginebra is 2nd in terms of Opponents 3FG%, So, this could break the series.

Prediction
In all my 3 factors, I am having a hard time giving even one to Ginebra. San Miguel have more elite shooters now with King and Ahanmisi there. And with Ahanmisi there, the fire power to win the 3rd quarter is even stronger. And Murphy is not Brownlee. The difference will be felt.

So, I think it will be San Miguel and I think they will not reach game 5.

Related Article: PBA Playoff Prediction: Rain or Shine chose Converge and they will WIN?

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